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    JAMA:武汉138例新型冠状病毒肺炎住院患者的临床特征
    • 胸有朝阳 2020-02-09 15:29 15:29
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     2020 Feb 7. doi: 10.1001/jama.2020.1585.

    Clinical Characteristics of 138 Hospitalized Patients With 2019 Novel Coronavirus-Infected Pneumonia in Wuhan, China.

    Abstract

    IMPORTANCE:

    In December 2019, novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV)-infected pneumonia (NCIP) occurred in Wuhan, China. The number of cases has increased rapidly but information on the clinical characteristics of affected patients is limited.

    OBJECTIVE:

    To describe the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of NCIP.

    DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS:

    Retrospective, single-center case series of the 138 consecutive hospitalized patients with confirmed NCIP at Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University in Wuhan, China, from January 1 to January 28, 2020; final date of follow-up was February 3, 2020.

    EXPOSURES:

    Documented NCIP.

    MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES:

    Epidemiological, demographic, clinical, laboratory, radiological, and treatment data were collected and analyzed. Outcomes of critically ill patients and noncritically ill patients were compared. Presumed hospital-related transmission was suspected if a cluster of health professionals or hospitalized patients in the same wards became infected and a possible source of infection could be tracked.

    RESULTS:

    Of 138 hospitalized patients with NCIP, the median age was 56 years (interquartile range, 42-68; range, 22-92 years) and 75 (54.3%) were men. Hospital-associated transmission was suspected as the presumed mechanism of infection for affected health professionals (40 [29%]) and hospitalized patients (17 [12.3%]). Common symptoms included fever (136 [98.6%]), fatigue (96 [69.6%]), and dry cough (82 [59.4%]). Lymphopenia (lymphocyte count, 0.8 × 109/L [interquartile range {IQR}, 0.6-1.1]) occurred in 97 patients (70.3%), prolonged prothrombin time (13.0 seconds [IQR, 12.3-13.7]) in 80 patients (58%), and elevated lactate dehydrogenase (261 U/L [IQR, 182-403]) in 55 patients (39.9%). Chest computed tomographic scans showed bilateral patchy shadows or ground glass opacity in the lungs of all patients. Most patients received antiviral therapy (oseltamivir, 124 [89.9%]), and many received antibacterial therapy (moxifloxacin, 89 [64.4%]; ceftriaxone, 34 [24.6%]; azithromycin, 25 [18.1%]) and glucocorticoid therapy (62 [44.9%]). Thirty-six patients (26.1%) were transferred to the intensive care unit (ICU) because of complications, including acute respiratory distress syndrome (22 [61.1%]), arrhythmia (16 [44.4%]), and shock (11 [30.6%]). The median time from first symptom to dyspnea was 5.0 days, to hospital admission was 7.0 days, and to ARDS was 8.0 days. Patients treated in the ICU (n = 36), compared with patients not treated in the ICU (n = 102), were older (median age, 66 years vs 51 years), were more likely to have underlying comorbidities (26 [72.2%] vs 38 [37.3%]), and were more likely to have dyspnea (23 [63.9%] vs 20 [19.6%]), and anorexia (24 [66.7%] vs 31 [30.4%]). Of the 36 cases in the ICU, 4 (11.1%) received high-flow oxygen therapy, 15 (41.7%) received noninvasive ventilation, and 17 (47.2%) received invasive ventilation (4 were switched to extracorporeal membrane oxygenation). As of February 3, 47 patients (34.1%) were discharged and 6 died (overall mortality, 4.3%), but the remaining patients are still hospitalized. Among those discharged alive (n = 47), the median hospital stay was 10 days (IQR, 7.0-14.0).

    CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE:

    In this single-center case series of 138 hospitalized patients with confirmed NCIP in Wuhan, China, presumed hospital-related transmission of 2019-nCoV was suspected in 41% of patients, 26% of patients received ICU care, and mortality was 4.3%.


    武汉大学中南医院最新论文显示,新冠抗疫过程中,院内感染应高度警惕。该院从1月1日至1月28日收治的138名新冠肺炎确诊患者中,约41.3%的患者属于院内感染,其中40人(29%)为医护人员,17人(12.3%)为因其它原因住院的患者。

      “截止到1月28日,整个医院医护人员只有40个人感染,和其它医院相比,感染比例是很小的。”论文作者之一、武汉大学中南医院重症医学科主任彭志勇此前接受财新记者采访时称,提示院内感染在武汉市内医院已普遍且严峻(参见“重症科医生亲述:我们是怎样抢救危重病人的”)。

      该论文的作者来自武汉大学中南医院的医生团队。题为《武汉138例新型冠状病毒肺炎住院患者的临床特征》的文章于2月7日在线发表在《美国医学会杂志》(The Journal of the American Medical Association,JAMA)上。

      根据论文披露的治疗数据,138例住院患者中,患者中位年龄为56岁,54.3%为男性。26%的患者出现重症并转入ICU,4.3%患者死亡。截至最后随访日期2月3日,47例患者(34.1%)出院,6例死亡(总死亡率为4.3%)。死亡患者均来自重症监护病房(ICU)。

      为何院内感染比率如此之高?这或与新冠肺炎早期临床症状复杂性有关。

      根据138例住院患者的研究,常见临床症状包括发烧(98.6%)、疲劳(69.6%)和干咳(59.4%),其中,97名患者淋巴细胞降低,80名患者凝血酶原时间延长,55位患者乳酸脱氢酶升高。所有患者的胸部CT扫描均显示肺部有双侧斑片状阴影或毛玻璃样混浊。

      然而,同样存在一些非典型的临床症状,包括头疼、眩晕、腹痛、腹泻、恶心、呕吐等。这些极具“迷惑性”的非典型症状为确诊带来不小挑战,也加大了院内感染的风险。

      论文显示,一位新冠病毒感染者最初并无明显的发热、咳嗽,是因腹部症状被送至外科治疗。据推测,该科室因此有超过10名医护人员被该患者感染,同一病房中则有至少4名住院患者被感染,且均表现出非典型的腹部症状。

      这意味着,非“一线”科室的医生和患者,同样面临暴露风险。在武汉大学中南医院公布的40名医护人员感染中,31名医护人员在普通病房工作,比例近八成;其余7名在急诊科,2名在ICU。而在因其他原因住院而被感染新冠肺炎的17例住院患者中,7名来自外科,5名来自内科,5名来自肿瘤科。

      “要警惕新型冠状病毒在医院内‘人传人’。”中国工程院院士钟南山对于院内感染早有预警。然而随着确诊病例和疑似病例数量日趋升高,武汉及周边地市的医疗防护物资短缺仍是一大障碍,部分一线医护工作人员仍处于缺口罩、缺防护服的“裸奔”状态中,其它科室防护条件则更差。

      近日,湖北省随州市市长克克在央视公开呼吁,“现有医用库存仅够三天”。其下辖县级市广水市政府网站同样发布题为“SOS!!!广水紧急求援!!!”的求助。

      除院内感染高风险外,研究还揭示高龄和其他潜在疾病,与新冠肺炎重症患者的高相关度。研究对比了接受ICU护理的患者与未接受ICU护理的患者。相比之下,进入ICU的患者平均年龄更大、患有诸如高血压、糖尿病等疾病的比例更高,同时也更容易出现呼吸困难和厌食等症状。

      “从临床观察来看,这个病确实是传染高,但死亡率低,发展成危重症的病人大多是那些年纪大的有基础疾病的老人。”彭志勇表示。

      根据彭志勇的临床经验,新冠病毒发作周期一般是三周,部分轻症病人进入第二周后会突然病情加重,出现呼吸窘迫,需要住院治疗。住院后,有基础病的老人可能会发生并发症,出现多器官衰竭,进入危重症阶段,而抵抗力强者则在该阶段有望好转康复。若说第二周是从重症发展从危重症的分水岭,第三周则是危重症到死亡的分水岭:对发展成危重症的患者来说,扛不住则危在旦夕,能熬过则有一线生机。

      研究同样揭示了这一规律。在已出院的47名患者中,住院时间介于7至14天之间,平均住院天数为10天。

      论文称该研究是迄今为止新冠肺炎住院患者的最大病例系列研究。此前,武汉市金银潭医院黄朝林等临床医生以及多家研究机构成员,研究了武汉肺炎最初被收治的41例病例的临床特征(参见“《柳叶刀》刊文详解武汉肺炎 最初41案例即有人传人迹象”),亦发现家庭聚集性病例,点明新冠病毒的“人传人”迹象。

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    • 经天纬地 SVIP会员 2020-02-10 17:31 17:311楼

      绝大部分人是轻症患者,自己慢慢就好了,比如有点发烧,之后退烧了就一路好转,啥事也没有。重症是免疫力差或基因特点的,就算是普通肺炎这种情况如果出现医疗挤兑,也一样危险。危重很多是有并发症的。

    • 经天纬地 SVIP会员 2020-02-10 17:32 17:322楼
      现在危重症只能用生命支持的方法,等病人自己的免疫系统恢复,让病毒死掉,没有好的药。中药的作用因为不懂,不评论。总体而言这个病及时发现及时治疗的话,并不恐怖。

    • 经天纬地 SVIP会员 2020-02-10 17:32 17:323楼
      这个病传染性比非典略强,但致死率并不恐怖,湖北省内高死亡率纯粹是因为医疗挤兑造成的,现在分级隔离收治后,情况已经好转,不过接下来死亡人数还会持续上升,因为现在转到定点医院的都是拖得比较久的危重病人,这种人治疗时间错过了黄金时期,难逆转,而省外的情况明显就致死很少。

      昨天危重增加人数已经很少,所以未来主要是存量的人死亡,新增危重已经拐点。当然,隔离防治很重要,要再坚持一周,如果下一个潜伏期没有二次爆发,那就确定全面拐点了。

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